Attitudes Toward the 2024 Snap Presidential Election
Raw Sample Count: 77216
Effective Sample Count: 20492
1. Participation in the 2024 presidential election
Will you vote in the presidential election to choose Ebrahim Raisi’s successor?
- 1. Yes, I will vote 22.4%
- 2. No, I will not vote 65.5%
- 3. I still don't know and will decide based on the circumstances 12.1%
2. Participation in 2024 presidential election (Detailed)
Will you vote in the presidential election to choose Ebrahim Raisi’s successor?
-
I voted in the previous parliamentary elections (March 2024)
- 1. Yes, I will vote 74%
- 2. No, I won't vote 11.2%
- 3. I still don't know and will decide based on the circumstances 14.8%
-
I did not vote in the previous parliamentary elections (March 2024)
- 1. Yes, I will vote 6.4%
- 2. No, I won't vote 84.7%
- 3. I still don't know and will decide based on the circumstances 8.9%
-
I was not of voting age during the previous presidential election (2021)
- 1. Yes, I will vote 34.1%
- 2. No, I won't vote 47.5%
- 3. I still don't know and will decide based on the circumstances 18.4%
-
Total
- 1. Yes, I will vote 22.4%
- 2. No, I won't vote 65.5%
- 3. I still don't know and will decide based on the circumstances 12.1%
3. Awareness of the presidential election date
Do you know when the presidential election will be held?
- 1. Correct answer (end of June 2024) 65.9%
- 2. Don't know or incorrect 34.1%
4. Candidate intention among decided voters
If you were to participate in the presidential election, which candidate would you vote for?
- 1. Masoud Pezeshkian 37.7%
- 2. Saeed Jalili 29.4%
- 3. Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf 8.3%
- 4. Amirhossein Ghazizadeh Hashemi 2.3%
- 5. Alireza Zakani 1.3%
- 6. Mostafa Pourmohammadi 0.9%
- 7. Undecided 18.4%
- 8. I will cast a blank/invalid vote 1.7%
5. Candidate preference among undecided voters
If you were to participate in the presidential election, which candidate would you vote for?
- 1. Masoud Pezeshkian 37.8%
- 2. Saeed Jalili 2.3%
- 3. Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf 1.7%
- 4. Amirhossein Ghazizadeh Hashemi 0.8%
- 5. Alireza Zakani 0.5%
- 6. Mostafa Pourmohammadi 0.5%
- 7. Undecided 41.5%
- 8. I will cast a blank/invalid vote 14.8%
6. Main reason for not voting
If you are not voting in the election, what is your main reason for not voting?
- 1. Opposition to the overall system of the IR 67.6%
- 2. The limited power of the President of the IR 18.1%
- 3. The disqualification of my preferred candidate in the election 7.8%
- 4. Other reasons 6.6%
7. Main motivation for voting
If you do vote in the election, what is your "main motivation" for voting?
- 1. Political participation, exercising the right to vote, and improving conditions 49.5%
- 2. Electing the best candidate, supporting the IR and the Supreme Leader 37.9%
- 3. Out of compulsion or to have a stamp on my ID card 8.2%
- 4. Other motivations 4.5%
8. Beliefs about the cause of Raisi's helicopter crash
After the helicopter crash involving Ebrahim Raisi and his companions, various opinions about the cause of the crash have been raised in society. Which scenario do you believe more?
- 1. Power struggles within the regime played a role in this crash 51%
- 2. Natural factors (technical defects and weather) played a role in this crash 13.5%
- 3. Sabotage by foreign countries played a role in this crash 5.8%
- 4. Other factors 3.1%
- 5. No opinion 26.6%
9. Most effective method for creating change in the country
Which action do you find more effective in creating change in the country's conditions?
- 1. Participating in protests (like last years' street protests) 29.6%
- 2. Participating in elections (like the presidential election) 19.3%
- 3. Both actions 5%
- 4. Neither of them 26.3%
- 5. No opinion 19.8%
10. Political orientations of respondents
Which option comes closest to your political orientation?
- 1. Proponent of regime change as a precondition for change 35.5%
- 2. Proponent of structural transformation and transition from the IR 24.2%
- 3. Proponent of gradual reform within the framework of the IR 12.7%
- 4. Proponent of the Islamic Revolution's principles and the Supreme Leader 11%
- 5. None of them 16.6%
11. Access to survey
On which platform did you encounter this survey?
- 1. Psiphon 65.6%
- 2. Telegram 13.1%
- 3. Instagram 8.5%
- 4. Other 6.7%
- 5. WhatsApp 4.6%
- 6. Twitter/X 1.5%
13. Geographical distribution of respondents
Do you live in an urban or rural area?
- 1. Rural 19.7%
- 2. Urban 80.3%
14. Age groups of respondents
What is your age catagory?
- 1. Between 20 and 29 years old 19.9%
- 2. Between 30 and 49 years old 53.9%
- 3. At least 50 years old 26.2%
15. Education level
What is your highest level of education?
- 1. Non-university educated 72.3%
- 2. University educated 27.7%
16. Distribution of household income levels among respondents
What is your household’s total monthly income range?
- 1. First three lower deciles 25.8%
- 2. Middle three deciles 40.4%
- 3. Upper four deciles 33.8%
17. Province of residence of respondents
In what province do you live?
- 1. East Azerbaijan 4.8%
- 2. West Azerbaijan 3.7%
- 3. Ardabil 1.4%
- 4. Isfahan 6.9%
- 5. Alborz 3.8%
- 6. Ilam 0.7%
- 7. Bushehr 1.4%
- 8. Tehran 18.7%
- 9. Chahar Mahal and Bakhtiari 1.1%
- 10. South Khorasan 0.9%
- 11. Razavi Khorasan 8%
- 12. North Khorasan 0.9%
- 13. Khuzestan 5.5%
- 14. Zanjan 1.3%
- 15. Semnan 1%
- 16. Sistan and Baluchistan 2.4%
- 17. Fars 6.2%
- 18. Ghazvin 1.6%
- 19. Qom 1.6%
- 20. Kurdistan 1.8%
- 21. Kerman 3.9%
- 22. Kermanshah 2.3%
- 23. Kohgiluyeh and Boyer-Ahmad 0.8%
- 24. Golestan 2.1%
- 25. Gilan 3.4%
- 26. Lorestan 2%
- 27. Mazandaran 4.5%
- 28. Markazi 1.8%
- 29. Hormozgan 2.1%
- 30. Hamadan 2%
- 31. Yazd 1.5%
18. Language spoken at home
What language do you normally speak at home?
- 1. Persian 67.1%
- 2. Azerbaijani/Turkic 12%
- 3. Kurdish 5.5%
- 4. Luri/Bakhtiari 4.9%
- 5. Baluchi 1.3%
- 6. Gilaki 1.7%
- 7. Mazandarani 1.7%
- 8. Arabic 1%
- 9. Laki 1.1%
- 10. Qashqai 0.4%
- 11. Turkmeni 0.4%
- 12. Dari (Afghan Persian) 0.2%
- 13. Tati 0.3%
- 14. Lari/Achomi 0.4%
- 15. Armeni 0.1%
- 16. Other 1.9%
19. Importance of family
How important is family in your life?
- 1. Very important 92.4%
- 2. Rather important 4.7%
- 3. Not very important 0.8%
- 4. Not at all important 1.1%
- 5. Do not know 0.9%
20. Importance of religion
How important is religion in your life?
- 1. Very important 29%
- 2. Rather important 18.4%
- 3. Not very important 15.3%
- 4. Not at all important 34.1%
- 5. Do not know 3.2%
21. Importance of friends
How important are friends in your life?
- 1. Very important 30.8%
- 2. Rather important 49.9%
- 3. Not very important 12.9%
- 4. Not at all important 4.3%
- 5. Do not know 2%
22. Employment status
Are you currently employed or unemployed?
- 1. Employed 40.1%
- 2. Unemployed 59.9%
23. Type of health care insurance of respondents
Which health care insurance do you currently have?
- 1. Social Security Organization 48.5%
- 2. Iran Health Insurance Organization 10.9%
- 3. Salamat 9.8%
- 4. Roostaa 6.2%
- 5. Armed Forces Insurance 3.1%
- 6. Other insurance 1.3%
- 7. I am not insured 20.2%
24. Employment status
Are you employed or unemployed?
-
Total population
- 1. Employed 40.1%
- 2. Unemployed 59.9%
-
Population in urban areas
- 1. Employed 40.7%
- 2. Unemployed 59.3%
-
Population in rural areas
- 1. Employed 37.4%
- 2. Unemployed 62.6%